Leverkusen vs Cologne Soccer Betting Predictions
Leverkusen in the Rhenish derby under pressure
Did you know that the stadiums of Bayer Leverkusen and 1. FC Köln are just 15 kilometers apart? Not even the home locations of the two Berlin Bundesliga clubs Hertha and Union are so close together. As a result, it is not surprising that a real Rhenish derby can be spoken of before the direct duel on Wednesday evening.
In the ranking, the two clubs from western Germany are no neighbors. While the Werkself continue to fight for participation in the Champions League, the billy goats want to take the last step towards relegation. Before the game of Leverkusen against Cologne, the odds of the best bookmakers are therefore clearly in favor of the host.
The pressure is clearly on the shoulders of Peter Bosz’s team, who must not lose feathers in a duel with Borussia Mönchengladbach for the last vacant top class place. From the home side’s point of view, the undertaking is not going to be easy, especially since the Leverkusen team’s last two home games were lost. In addition, Bayer has been waiting for three straight duels against “Effzeh” for three.
However, for the Leverkusen against Cologne prediction it should also be taken into account that the guests from the cathedral city are not in the best shape to make the short journey. After the forced break, Markus Gisdol’s protégés are still waiting for their first success. In the six games only three points jumped out for the table twelfth, so that the last little hope of being able to look again at the Europa League quickly vanished.
Leverkusen – Statistics & current form
Is Bayer 04 Leverkusen on the way to a crisis? For the first time in the entire second half of the season, coach Peter Bosz’s men had two games in a row without a win. After the expected 2: 4 loss at home to FC Bayern, the Rheinländer had to settle for a disappointing 1-1 draw at FC Schalke 04 on Sunday. The bottom line is therefore only four points from the recent four games for the Champions League contender.
To speak of a real lack of form would nevertheless be presumptuous, especially since Bayer is still playing a strong second half of the season and behind the designated champions from Munich (40) and Borussia Dortmund (36) collected the most points (29). Nine of the 14 matches in calendar year 2020 were victorious. After the restart, there were at least three successes in six attempts.
Werkself generally very successful against promoters
Despite the recent fluctuations in performance, Kai Havertz and Co. are still in pole position in the race for fourth place. The Werkself have one point ahead of the matchday ahead of Borussia Mönchengladbach, who got there with VfL Wolfsburg on Tuesday. In order to maintain or even expand this good starting position, a home win for Leverkusen in the Rhenish derby on Wednesday evening is mandatory.
The fact that the last five home games against promoted players were all won with a goal difference of 12: 4 speaks for the cup finalists. Also in the current season, the Bosz eleven presented themselves consistently well against the newcomers. Four of the five matches completed so far have been won; only in the first leg against the Cologne the fourth placed the loser.
Four of the last five wins are at least two goals apart
Another argument why we recommend our readers’ home game odds against Leverkusen to Cologne is the 15-game goal streak of the fifth best Bundesliga offensive, which will take place for the last time on Matchday 16, in December 2019 remained without own hit. A handicap bet in favor of the Werkself can also be used to boost the prices on the favorites. The Rhinelander celebrated four of the last five victories by at least two goals.
Personnel didn’t do too much compared to the weekend. Only Lucas Alario saw his fifth yellow card on Schalke and must therefore watch on Wednesday. In addition, Lars Bender and Karim Bellarabi suffered injuries due to injuries. For Alario, Kevin Volland could start from the beginning for the first time since his serious injury. Particular attention is also paid to the young Florian Wirtz, who is known to have moved from Cologne to Leverkusen in the winter.
Probable lineup of Leverkusen:
Hradecky – Tah, S. Bender, Tapsoba – Amiri, Aranguiz, Demirbay, Sinkgraven – Havertz, Volland, Diaby
Last games from Leverkusen:
06/14 2020 Schalke 04 1 – 1 Bayer Leverkusen
06/09 2020 Saarbruecken 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen
06/06 2020 Bayer Leverkusen 2-4 Bayern Munich
05/29 2020 Sc freiburg 0 – 1 Bayer Leverkusen
05/26 2020 Bayer Leverkusen 1 – 4 Vfl Wolfsburg
Cologne – Statistics & current form
1. FC Köln can undoubtedly be described as one of the big losers in the restart. As one of the few teams, coach Markus Gisdol’s team has never been able to land a threesome since the game started again. Three division of points are faced with as many losses in this period.
Gisdol-Elf still without a win since the restart
If you look at the Bundesliga table, it becomes clear that seventh place, which would have been equivalent to qualifying for the Europa League, would not have been out of reach for a long time.
“We know that Bayer is a club that has a look at the Champions League. It is important to me that we see the greed, willingness and mentality that we need for our game. We want to see a team that we’ve had over a very long period of the season. ” – Markus Gisdol
However, the billy goats could not be expected to preserve their excellent form from before the interruption with eight wins from ten games over the long period of idle.
Strictly speaking, the relegation is not yet dry, although the cushion from seven points to places 16 and 17 should still be sufficient for three games to be represented in the coming season. To make a mathematical catch behind the minimum goal, an away win on Wednesday evening at the Rhenish neighbor in the BayArena is required.
Cologne’s defensive has been very fragile lately
Between Leverkusen and Cologne, a prediction for the guest is anything but advisable. Among other things, this is due to the not particularly stable defensive, which has conceded at least two goals in six of the past seven matches. With such a high figure, it doesn’t help much that the offensive for top scorer Jhon Cordoba scored at least one goal 17 times in the highest German league.
With the exception of Marcel Risse and Simon Terodde, Coach Gisdol is available to all players. Noah Katterbach and Elvis Rexhebecaj are potential candidates for a starting line-up. Six players are threatened by a yellow card suspension. This fact is also not entirely unimportant in view of the exciting final sprint.
Probable lineup of Cologne:
T. Horn – Ehizibue, Bornauw, Czichos, Katterbach – Skhiri, Hector – Kainz, Uth, Jakobs – Cordoba
Last matches from Cologne:
06/13 2020 1. FC Cologne 1 – 2 Union Berlin
06/07 2020 Augsburg 1 – 1 FC Cologne
06/01 2020 1. FC Cologne 2-4 RB Leipzig
05/27 2020 Hoffenheim 3 – 1 FC Cologne
05/24 2020 1. FC Cologne 2 – 2 Fortuna Dusseldorf
Leverkusen vs Cologne Direct comparison
There have been 64 matches between the two Rhenish rivals in the top German division. Leverkusen lead the direct comparison with 23 wins. The “Effzeh” meanwhile is only 16 successes. A whopping 24 matches ended in a draw.
The billy goats still have a premiere on Wednesday, because the kickers from the cathedral city have never been able to win three games in a row against the Werkself. After both the second leg 2018/2019 and the first leg of the current season went to Cologne, they now want to do the hat trick. However, we do not believe in a continuation of the “Effzeh” series and instead tend towards a sovereign success of the host.
Leverkusen vs Cologne Soccer Betting Prediction
In the Rhenish derby on Wednesday evening between Leverkusen and Cologne, bookmakers’ betting odds imply a clear favorite role in favor of the home side. This assessment coincides with our assumption that the Bosz-Elf will return to winning ways after only one point from two games in the course of the 32nd game day.
Despite the bankruptcy against FC Bayern and the disappointing draw with Schalke, Bayer is still playing a strong second half, which should at best be concluded with the qualification for the Champions League. In order to keep the direct competitor from Gladbach at a distance, a success against the “gray mouse” from the cathedral city is definitely mandatory.
Key facts – Leverkusen vs Cologne tips
Four of the recent five Bayer victories came with at least two goals
The Effzeh is still waiting for the first three after the restart (three draws, three bankruptcies)
The last two direct duels went to Cologne
The billy goats have been waiting for the first three, and with just three draws and three defeats on the past six match days, they have long lost all their hopes for European business. With regard to the relegation battle, nothing should burn anymore either, so the question must be asked how high the Gisdol-Elf’s motivation will be to overcome the “inner bastard” on Wednesday.
We are convinced that the qualitatively better manned Werkself will do justice to their favorite role at home. Although the “Effzeh” was able to win the last two direct duels against the fourth in the table, we decide between Leverkusen and Cologne for the tip that the host wins with at least two goals. With four of the last five successes, a bet would have gone through.
Betting Prediction: Handicap: victory at home -1.5