What do Nils Petersen and Joachim Löw have in common? Both top the internal list of goalscorers in Freiburg’s club history with exactly 83 goals. Petersen, who was still active, was able to catch up with the national coach immediately before the winter break on matchday 17 and, if you don’t need to be a prophet, you will pass Jogi in the second half of the season.
Mainz vs Freiburg Soccer Betting Prediction
In the first half series, the 31-year-old netted a total of seven times and was therefore primarily responsible for Christian Streich’s team exceeding expectations and building up a cushion of eleven points on the first relegation zone. At the start of the second half of the season, the Breisgauers want to follow suit. Between Mainz and Freiburg, however, the host is favored according to the bookmaker’s odds.
Thanks to a passable final sprint with three victories from their recent six encounters, the Rheinhessen have moved up to 14th place and thus hibernated more calmly than one might have expected after the black release in early November. Achim Beierlorzer brought a breath of fresh air and, in his rather short term, earned exactly as many points as his predecessor in the previous season.
Although the FSV likes to play against the sports club and has never lost to the Black Forest at home in the Bundesliga, for example, we would be careful not to play Mainz vs. Duisburg on Saturday afternoon. Freiburg to give a tip on the home win. Instead, we think that one or the other goal, especially in the first half, is quite possible, since both teams don’t really know where they stand after the short winter break.
Mainz – Statistics & current form
At FSV Mainz 05 there was only sparkling wine or soda in the first half series. As the only Bundesliga club, the Rheinhessen did not play a draw once. After 17 match days, six wins and eleven defeats are added to the red-whites, which place them in 14th place on the table and are therefore in the middle of the relegation battle.
Although the lead on the relegation place is only three points, you will not be completely dissatisfied with the latest developments in the carnival stronghold, since in the meantime even worse starting position for the second half series threatened. After the eighth bankruptcy in the eleventh game, Sandro Schwarz was finally released from his duties and replaced by the ex-Cologne Achim Beierlorzer.
Under the 52-year-old soccer teacher, the shape curve definitely showed an upward trend in the last weeks before the winter break. The 05ers celebrated important successes against Hoffenheim, Frankfurt or Bremen and only lost against aspiring Augsburgers and the Champions League aspirants from Leverkusen and Dortmund.
Almost more important than the very positive results, however, was the return of self-confidence and the courage to take the initiative. In the six games under Beierlorzer, the FSV scored even more goals (13) than in the previous eleven matches under black (twelve).
The defensive, which is still the second most susceptible in the Bundesliga with 39 goals, was able to stabilize the Erlangen native to some extent. Between matchday eleven and 17, keeper Zentner “only” conceded nine goals, four of them against Borussia Dortmund. The only “clean sheet” was a week before Christmas at the memorable 5-0 on the Weser.
In order to provide a suitable tip between Mainz and Freiburg, it is also worth taking a look at the first half of the Rheinhessen. Hardly any other first division club had as much going on in the first 45 minutes of a game as the Mainz team. Only in three out of 17 cases was the zero on both sides at the break. The over 1.5 was cracked seven times before the change of sides.
The 2-0 victory in the last friendly against Borussia Dortmund underpins that the red-whites can hope for a better second half of the season, although of course a different wind will blow on Saturday in the Bundesliga. Achim Beierlorzer has to do without Bell, Fernandes and Latza. Otherwise, all men are on board, so the coach is spoiled for choice.
Probable lineup of Mainz:
➲ Zentner – Brosinski, St. Juste, Niakhaté, Aaron – R. Baku, Kunde – Öztunali, Quaison, Boetius – Mateta
Last games from Mainz:
⚽️ 01/11/2020 – Dortmund vs. Mainz 0-2 (friendly match)
⚽️ 07.01.2020 – Mainz vs. Emmen 2: 3 (friendly match)
⚽️ 12/21/2019 – Mainz vs. Leverkusen 0-1 (Bundesliga)
⚽️ 12/17/2019 – Werder Bremen vs. Mainz 0: 5 (Bundesliga)
⚽️ 12/14/2019 – Mainz vs. Dortmund 0: 4 (Bundesliga)
Freiburg – Statistics & current form
While FSV Mainz 05 has to tremble seriously for relegation, SC Freiburg could have considered in the winter break to adjust the goals upwards. Strictly speaking, the Breisgauer should only be four wins short in order to fix the relegation class.
Should the men of trainer Christian Streich, who knows the “understatement” like hardly any of his colleagues and still sell authentically, but conjure up a similarly strong second half series, may even be a qualification for European business.
The 2012/13 season should serve as a good omen, as the sport club, like now, had 26 points after the first half of the season and finished fifth after 34 match days, which in turn meant that it was for the UEFA Europa League authorized. The 26 counts mentioned are still the best result that the Black Forest recorded on the first 17 game days in the Oberhaus.
The current eighth place in the table certainly has room for improvement. The Breisgauer could not win any of the last six guest appearances (three draws, three defeats). This can be seen as a step backwards, since the first three away matches in the current season were all still victorious.
From a purely statistical point of view, the probability that a prediction of the guest victory on Saturday between Mainz and Freiburg will pay off relatively little, because none of the nine Bundesliga away games to date to start the new round in the SCF history have been able to do so South Germans win (six draws, three bankruptcies). Freiburg have never won in the top German division in Mainz.
Nicolas Höfler, Lukas Kübler and Yoric Ravet will definitely be missing due to suspensions or injuries. Behind the appearances of the international Luca Waldschmidt and Nico Schlotterbeck, there are bigger question marks, as both struggled with a persistent cold during the week.
It is quite possible that Christian Streich relies on a 3-4-3 system. This underscores the very aggressive orientation. In at least six out of nine away games with participation in the Sport Club, at least two goals were scored in the first round. Consequently, the odds of over 1.5 goals in the first half between Mainz and Freiburg also promise a passable value.
Probable lineup of Freiburg:
➲ Schwolow – Gulde, R. Koch, Heintz – Schmid, Haberer, Abrashi, Günter – Höler, Grifo – Petersen
Last games from Freiburg:
⚽️ 01/10/2020 – Gladbach vs. Freiburg 2: 1 (friendly game)
⚽️ 01/10/2020 – Freiburg vs. Gladbach 1: 2 (friendly match)
⚽️ 12/21/2019 – Schalke vs. Freiburg 2: 2 (Bundesliga)
⚽️ 18.12.2019 – Freiburg vs. Bayern 1: 3 (Bundesliga)
⚽️ 12/14/2019 – Hertha vs. Freiburg 1: 0 (Bundesliga)
Mainz vs Freiburg Direct comparison & statistics highlights
Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg will face each other for the 22nd time in the Bundesliga this weekend. The Rheinhessen lead the direct comparison clearly with twelve wins. The kickers from the Dreisam achieved only five successes, while four games ended in a draw.
What is also particularly interesting is the fact that the sports club has never won on the German Beletage in Mainz. In ten matches there were seven FSV victories and three draws. Only in Munich has the Black Forest played so far without winning. The first leg in the current season ended on Matchday 3 with 3: 0 for the Streich-Elf, who marked all three goals in the last ten minutes.
Mainz vs Freiburg Soccer Betting Prediction
The second half of the season will kick off next Saturday in the Bundesliga between Mainz and Freiburg. According to the betting odds, the Rheinhessen are the favorites in the match, which is partly due to the fact that the FSV has never lost at home to the sports club in the highest German division.
In addition, it should be noted that the Dreisam guest had no victory in six consecutive away games before the winter break and therefore fell back to eighth in the table. With this, the Streich-Elf still ranks a few positions and a total of eight points in front of the coming opponent, who as 14th has the primary goal of getting rid of all relegation worries as quickly as possible.
Key facts – Mainz vs Freiburg tips
📌 Mainz form curve points upwards under Beierlorzer (three wins, three bankruptcies)
📌 Freiburg has not won any of their last six away games
📌 In six of nine SCF guest appearances, at least two goals were scored in half one
📌 The sports club has never won in Mainz in the Bundesliga
Because in our between Mainz and Freiburg a prediction on the three-way market is associated with a lot of risk, we focus more on the number of goals, especially in the first round. In six of nine SCF guest appearances, the over 1.5 was already broken at half time. On the other hand, there are seven matches with participation in Mainz, in which the ball crossed the goal line at least twice before the break.
Under Achim Beierlorzer, the home side are pursuing a courageous, offensive approach. The Breisgauer have scored more goals away from home than at home so far, but also conceded more goals.
Date: Jan 18, 2020
Prediction Today: over 1.5 (1st HT)
Stake: 6/10 units