In the Portuguese classic, also known as “O Clássico”, the championship of the 2019/20 season could possibly decide on Saturday evening. Finally, title defender Benfica has seven points ahead of chase Porto according to Motson’s Tips – Football Accumulators Tips & Daily Accas !
Porto vs Benfica Lisbon Soccer Betting Prediction
An away win at the Estádio do Dragão and the distance would increase to ten points, which would hardly be catchable. After all, the Encarnados have won 18 of the previous 19 league games. Now the 37-time national champion has to pass the acid test with the toughest pursuer, against whom there was only one defeat in the first leg.
At Porto against Benfica Lisbon, the bookmakers’ odds narrowly move in the direction of the Dragões, which, considering the fact that the Sérgio Conceição men have just had three setbacks in national football, is a quite remarkable assessment.
Porto has won only three of the last six competitive matches across all competitions, which is a crucial factor for the prediction Porto against Benfica Lisbon. In the meantime, the guests from the capital finally won all seven competitive games in 2020.
Accordingly, we think it very likely that the Águias will kidnap at least one point from the Estádio do Dragão. We play at Porto against Benfica Lisbon the tip on the double chance X2 and combine this bet in favor of a better odds with the addition “under 3.5 goals”. After all, the “O Clássico” rarely stands for a peat festival.
Porto – Statistics & current form
In summer 2017, Sérgio Conceição took over the coaching position at FC Porto and led the kites directly in his very first term after five years of abstinence past long-term rival Benfica Lisbon to number one in the Primeira Liga. That 28th Portuguese championship should remain the last coup of the successful coach for the time being.
So the 2018/19 season ended without a title and even now it does not look as if the Azuis e brancos could enrich their showcase collection with 78 internationally and nationally won trophies in the clubhouse by another winner’s cup at the end of the season.
In Taça de Portugal, the Dragões only started playing Underdog Académico de Viseu FC on Tuesday evening, but missed a preliminary decision in the 1-1 draw. Sérgio Conceição’s team can make everything clear in the second leg, but today’s opponent Benfica Lisbon threatens in the final, which makes this task all the more difficult.
In addition, the dragons just left the title in Taça da Liga for the second time in a row. If Porto lost 3-1 in the final to Sporting Lisbon in the final shootout a year ago, the Azuis e brancos just recently suffered a 0-1 defeat in the final against Sporting Braga on 25 January 2020.
Last, but not least, the Primeira Liga table is known. Although the blue-whites were responsible for the only season defeat of the Encarnados in league operations in the first half of the season, there are currently seven points behind the defending champion.
The bookmakers certainly rate it as likely that tip 1 will go up against Porto against Benfica Lisbon and the deficit will be reduced to four points. In view of the recent setbacks, we assess the situation in a much more differentiated manner.
After all, the Dragões won only three of their last six competitive games and, in addition to the setbacks in the cup competitions, also suffered a 1: 2 home defeat against Sporting Braga in the Primeira Liga, in which the brilliant shine of the home record got a violent scratch.
Before this match, the Azuis e brancos hadn’t conceded a single goal in the Estádio do Dragão. Now there was even the next goal in the scarce 2-1 win over Gil Vicente last week. Favored by a dismissal of the guests, the dragons turned this match over. What the Conceição team offers these days is really convincing, but not.
So it can be stated that the five injured regular players from Shoya Nakajima to old master Pepe to captain Danilo Pereira are a little too important to be able to trust the Dragões to do another defeat to the Encarnados.
Best goal scorers in the league:
🎖 Tiquinho Soares and Zé Luís (7 goals each)
🎖 Alex Telles (6 goals)
Probable lineup of Porto:
➲ Marchesín – Telles – Marcano – Mbemba – Manafá – Uribe – Oliveira – Otávio – Díaz – Corona – Tiquinho
Last games from Porto:
⚽️ 02/04/2020 – Academica Viseu vs. Postage 1: 1 (cup)
⚽️ 02/01/2020 – Vitória Setúbal vs. Postage 0: 4 (Primeira Liga)
⚽️ 01/28/2020 – Porto vs. Gil Vicente 2-1 (Primeira Liga)
⚽️ 01/25/2020 – Braga vs. Porto 1: 0 (League Cup)
⚽️ 01/22/2020 – Vitória Guimarães vs. Porto 1: 2 (League Cup)
Benfica Lisbon – Statistics & current form
To make matters worse, Benfica Lisbon is not even forced to have a threesome away at the Estádio do Dragão. Even with the draw, the gap of seven points would remain, which could hardly be made up by the Azuis e brancos.
This offers the Águias the great advantage of not having to look too open, let alone having to go through the wall with their heads.
However, there are three other aspects that clearly indicate that the Encarnados are now able to make a small preliminary decision in the fight for the national championship. First, the defending champion’s hospital is practically non-existent. With the exception of captain Jardel, who is by no means set for central defense, coach Bruno Lage doesn’t have to do without a single player.
Second, Benfica Lisbon have won all seven competitive games so far in 2020, building up a really strong momentum. And thirdly, the Portuguese record champion, who had to complain about some painful departures in the summer, once again followed up on the transfer market.
With Dyego Sousa, a massive striker was brought back from China on “Deadline Day” and loaned until the end of the season, who has already scored 42 goals in 112 league games in the Primeira Liga for Sporting Braga, among other things, with which he should be able to help the Águis immediately. The Encarnados Dortmund had previously signed Julian Weigl, who had already played in the hearts of the fans in his first four league games for the Adler.
All in all, things are going really well for the 37-time national champion, who has just conceded eight goals in 19 league games throughout the 2019/20 season.
Defensive values, as they should influence the odds a lot more clearly in our eyes at Porto against Benfica Lisbon. However, the direct tip on an away three of the Encarnados also harbors certain risks with the fiercest pursuer.
After all, Bruno Lage’s team is not dependent on the away win to stay ahead in the championship, but would be able to bring the comfortable and practically unobtainable lead of seven points with the draw safely over the finish line.
Accordingly, it can be assumed that the focus of the eagles will initially be on the defensive, which is considered the showpiece of the Portuguese record champions. In our eyes, this also favors the bet that, in addition to winning the points (Double Chance X2), the “Under 3.5 Goals” market will also be a suitable addition for a small odds boost.
Best goal scorers in the league:
🎖 Pizzi and Carlos Vinícius (12 goals each)
🎖 Rafa Silva (5 goals)
Probable lineup of Benfica Lisbon:
➲ Vlachodimos – Grimaldo – Ferreira – Dias – Almeida – Cervi – Taarabt – Weigl – Pizzi – Silva – Vinícius
Last games from Benfica Lisbon:
⚽️ 02/04/2020 – Benfica Lisbon vs. Famalicao 3: 2 (cup)
⚽️ 01/31/2020 – Benfica Lisbon vs. Belenenses Lisbon 3-2 (Primeira Liga)
⚽️ 01/26/2020 – FC Paços de Ferreira vs. Benfica Lisbon 0-2 (Primeira Liga)
⚽️ 01/17/2020 – Sporting Lisbon vs. Benfica Lisbon 0-2 (Primeira Liga)
⚽️ Jan 14, 2020 – Benfica Lisbon vs. Rio Ave FC 3-2 (Cup)
Porto vs Benfica Lisbon Direct comparison
Head to head: 94-60-88
Across all competitions, there have already been 242 clashes between FC Porto and Benfica Lisbon. With 94 games won, the Dragões narrowly lead the resulting “head to head” record ahead of the 88 victories of the Águias, while 60 draws round off the direct comparison.
Of all things, the Azuis e brancos caused the Encarnados’ only defeat of the season in the first leg in the first leg in the state capital, which all other 18 of the previous 19 league games could win.
In the last “O Clássico” of both teams in the Estádio do Dragão, the reigning national champions won 2-1 on March 2, 2019 and set the course for the 37th Portuguese with a three-way in Porto a year ago Championship.
Porto vs Benfica Lisbon Soccer Betting Prediction
For Porto against Benfica Lisbon, our prediction is primarily influenced by the incredible course of the Encarnados, which will continue seamlessly in 2020. The eagles played seven competitive games in the new year. They went seven times as winners.
A total of 18 wins from the 19 games in the Primeira Liga are already for the undisputed leader, whose only defeat comes from the first leg against the Dragões. So the away game at the Estádio do Dragão is not a sure-fire success. For the starting position, however, in favor of the Águis, Benfica is not at all dependent on the away win and can therefore take a defensive approach.
Our source for this predictions is Motson’s Tips website – there you can get daily football accumulator tips from all major leagues.
Key facts – Porto vs Benfica Lisbon tips
📌 Porto won the first leg away 2-0
📌 Lisbon has won all other 18 league games this season
📌 Porto have won only three of their last six competitive games
Because the Azuis e brancos have to act with an open visor to safeguard the chance of winning the championship, it is the most sustainable in our eyes to give the tip on the points win of the Encarnados at Porto against Benfica Lisbon.
Because the odds for Double Chance X2 are not overly good, we combine this bet with the “Under 3.5 Goals” market. In the “O Clássico” there were more than three hits in all competitions in just one of their last 14 encounters.
For the points of the capitals with a maximum of three hits in total, odds against Porto against Benfica Lisbon of up to 1.96 are available, which we allude to with seven units.
Competition: Primeira Liga
Date: February 8th, 2020
Predictions Today: X2 & Under 3.5 goals
Stake: 7/10 units